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share market crashes

I posted this article on the site a year ago. Thought I would repost it.

INTRODUCTION

It is not a secret that the stock market can be volatile; history has shown us this. There are many factors which are the cause of a falling market; they could be a change of President in the US, correction in the market, or nervousness by investors resulting in them selling off their stocks. Whether a 1929 or 87 style crash occurs this decade or not, one thing is clear; it is still important to save and invest for the future because one thing is certain; you will cease working one day and need something to fall back on.

History of share market crashes

When one thinks of share market crashes two years spring to mind, 1929 and 1987, hopefully, such crashes on the scale which wiped out life savings are not going to occur in the foreseeable future. It is not guaranteed that it will not happen, but then nothing in this world is guaranteed apart from death and taxes.

There have been other financial meltdowns outside of the two main ones. Asian Financial Crisis of the 90s and the GFC of 2008 wiped billions of dollars off share values. 

The next major financial meltdown in the markets could be caused by the very people who will be most affected by it, Baby Boomers.

Why?

Because as more and more of them retire, they will withdraw their savings out of the stock market causing a major selloff.

This has been predicted in the past but there has not yet been any sign of this happening with the markets at record levels, however, who is bold enough to predict which direction the stock exchange will head in the future?

One thing you can guarantee is that there will be another market crash in the future; investors just need to be prepared for it.

Here are the most notable share market crashes within the last 100 years.

1929-The Wall Street Crash

The Wall Street crash lasted for over four years. Investors borrowed money to buy shares and when shares were sold off to repay the money to their creditors investors were left out of pocket. The 1929 crash led to the 1930s Great depression.

1962-The Kennedy Slide

The stock market had enjoyed a steady rise since the 1929 crash with the ten years prior to 1962 being good ones for the stock exchange. This all changed in January when share prices plummeted. President Kennedy attributed the decline as a correction for the rises of the past ten years.

1973-74-Stock market crash

The Dow Jones fell by 45% during the stock market crash which lasted two years between January 1973 and December 1974. The UK markets feared even worse losing 73% of it’s value during this time. The collapse of the Bretton Woods System was to blame. This is a system devised many decades earlier on an agreed fixed currency rate. 44 countries met in Bretton Wood to discuss the currency issue in 1944 hence the name Bretton Woods System.

1987-Black Monday

19th October 1987 will always be known as “Black Monday,” after the biggest one day fall in the stock market in history took place. Leading up to the crash many traders borrowed money to purchase shares and as share prices rose they borrowed more money using the value of their shares as security, however, when the stock market dropped by 20% in one day many investors owed more money than the value of their shares and found themselves in financial turmoil.

1997-Asian Financial Crisis

Many stock markets in Asia fell dramatically between July and October due to an overheated market. Many who bought shares on credit or with borrowed money were hit hard by the crash.

2007-2008-Global Financial Crisis

The failure of several financial institutions in the United States.

2020-The Covid Market Crash

Stock markets dropped 34% in one day on March 23 2020 as Covid-19 was starting to take hold. This started a worldwide recession caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

Who knows when the next share market crash will occur; one thing is for certain, it will be out of the control of investors. It is up to each of us to plan our finances in such a way as to minimise the effect of a financial meltdown in the markets. This can be done by diversification; that is by having your money invested in a range of industries. This way you are not placing too many eggs in the one basket.

ABOUT THIS ARTICLE

This article does not represent financial advice, but rather is the opinion of the writer. It is strongly advised that you seek independent advice from a qualified person. Feel free to share this article. You may use this article as content for your ebook or website. Visit my site www.robertastewart.com for other articles.

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LEARNING FROM PAST FINANCIAL MISTAKES

This article is of the writer’s experience and opinion. If you require financial advice then see your bank manager or financial advisor.

Learning from past investing mistakes

By Robert A. Stewart

“He who never made a mistake never made anything,” but there is no need to make a mistake if you can help it. How? By learning from other people’s mistakes.

The most tragic thing of all is to not learn from your own mistakes; here are some tragic examples which have left people with badly burned fingers.

In October 1987 the sharemarket crashed bigtime; there were horrific stories of mum and dad investors losing fortunes. Leading up to the crash investors would borrow money to purchase shares by using the value of their shares as collateral. As the share values increased, they were able to borrow more and more money. One story I was told was of a man who borrowed money using the value of his home as collateral. 

Many companies were basically called paper shufflers; in order words they were not producing anything tangible but trading in shares.

It took several years before the market recovered.

One should never borrow money to purchase shares which is the first basic lesson of investing.

During the Global Financial Crisis several finance companies went belly up in NZ; these included Provincial Finance, Hanover Finance, Dominion Finance, Lombard Finance, and South Canterbury Finance. There were sad stories with one common one being of investors who had their whole life savings invested in the company. The media’s spin on this is to tell the viewer about the investors who lost everything they invested but that is not the case. The truth is investors were drip-fed money from what the receiver’s could recover.

The investors concerned had a lot to say about all of this but one thing was never mentioned was the fact that they placed all of their financial eggs in one basket. This is a fundamental mistake. In one case, an investor had NZ$400,000 invested in Hanover Finance. One would have thought an investor with commonsense would have spread their money around. 

It does make one wonder whether someone provided this investor with misleading advice. 

The second basic lesson is to not place all of your financial eggs in the one basket.

Crypto currency such as Bitcoin and the like have been very popular during the last ten years. Stories of great wealth have been floating around from time to time of investors who have invested x number of $ and turned it into a fortune worth x. My view of Crypto Currency is that it should be treated as a bit of a gamble where you only invest discretionary income in. Only money you can afford to lose should be invested in crypto currency.

A company called “Cryptopia” which was basically a blockchain which held funds invested in Bitcoin was hacked into and all those with bitcoin invested with cryptopia lost their money. There were some sad stories of an x amount of $ lost.

The third lesson here is to NEVER invest money in cryptocurrency which you can not afford to lose. In other words only use your discretionary money for Bitcoin.

It is certainly well worth remembering that if there is a chance of capital gain then there is also a chance of capital loss. That is the nature of investing.

The bottom line is this; “It is up to YOU, the investor to take responsibility for your mistakes.

www.robertastewart.com

Investing in Gold is worth looking at but like other investments an investor needs to do their research, check out the following;

https://affiliates.goldco.com/l/1VRW1MU2Q/

Sign up for future email updates  and receive the free ebook, “Financial Steps,” here; https://forms.aweber.com/form/72/892285272.htm

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SAVING FOR WHATEVER

Saving for whatever…

Written by R. A. Stewart

Establish your savings goal. Are you saving for your retirement, a new car, a deposit for a home or whatever. This will be the determining factor when choosing where to invest your money. It is important to note that you can have several different savings/financial goals at the same time with a different type of investment with each goal. 

For example, you may have a short term goal to pay off your TV set, a medium term goal to save for your car, and a long term goal to put away money for your retirement.

Your financial goals should be split up into three categories; short term, medium term, and long term.

The category will determine where it is best to place your money.

  1. SHORT TERM

Oncall-6 months

This is money on standby and used for general household bills such as power, car running expenses rent, and so forth. 

Where to keep this money; Ordinary savings account or bonus bonds

  1. MEDIUM TERM

6 months-3 years

This is money being saved for a car, appliance, overseas trip.

Where to keep your money; Bonus Bonds is a good option but mutual funds is an option but invest conservatively. 

There are a number of managed funds which are cropping up and you do not have to have much to get started with them. A good one for the beginner is sharesies (in NZ). If you are from another country there will be companies similar to Sharesies you are able to invest with.

  1. LONG TERM

3 years+

Saving for a house deposit and building a nest egg for your retirement are examples of long term goals.

Where to keep your money; kiwisaver is an ideal investment to drive you to your savings destination because the incentives will help your savings grow.

Some tips.

Pay off debt first because if you are able to pay off a debt where you’re paying say 10% interest on the debt then the interest saved from the paid off debt is just as if you had been paid the 10%; as the saying goes, “A dollar saved is a dollar made.”

Stuff happens in life where circumstances change therefore you need to be prepared to be flexible.

Take a long term view of your investments. It is time and not timing which is the key to investing. As you gain more experience with investing, your risk profile will improve.

Read all you can about finance and the sharemarket. Knowledge will help you overcome your fears when investing.

PLEASE NOTE; The information in this article is the writer’s opinion based on his experience. If you require financial advice see your bank.

www.robertastewart.com

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UNDERSTANDING INFLATION

How to beat inflation guide for ordinary people

Inflation is no respecter of people; it affects all of us, rich, poor, or in between; you do not have to have a lot of money to feel the effects of inflation, in fact, it is those who are least able to afford the rising prices who are affected by inflation.

So what is inflation?

Inflation is the name given to the rises in prices. This is all tallied up and averaged out with the measure of inflation indicated by a percentage point. If inflation is say 1.5% then it means prices on average have risen by 1.5% in the 12 months the survey was taken.

There are many different strategies for beating inflation, most involve investing for a return greater than the inflation rate. If you just stored the money under your mattress, the value of your money would decrease every year by the value of the inflation rate. If the inflation rate was 1.5%, then your money would decrease by 1.5% per annum.

1-CUT UP THE CREDIT CARDS

When you purchase stuff using borrowed money, you are paying inflated prices for everything and this all adds up during your lifetime. “If you have not got the money then don’t buy it,” is a good rule to live by.

2-CUT BACK ON YOUR SPENDING 

This is the best way of getting ahead financially in life and will protect you from some of the effects of inflation. Think of everything you spend on an annual basis. Some folks think nothing of spending $20 on coffees per week, but that adds up to  $1000 per year.

3-BUY SECOND HAND WHENEVER PRACTICAL

There is a huge difference between the price of something in a high street store and that same item in the second hand/charity shop; the amount you will save will quickly add up during your lifetime.

4-DON’T JUST SAVE YOUR MONEY…

Invest it; there are plenty of options for you to invest your money, even if you do not have a lot to invest. “You do not have to be rich to invest but you need to invest to become rich.”

5-MANAGED FUNDS

This is my favoured method for a long term inflation beating investment. Your retirement fund with all of it’s incentives is a no brainer, but there are lots of other managed funds you can join, many are ideal for the small saver who do not earn all that much. Managed Funds or Index Funds as they are also called have stood the test of time as the best way of beating inflation.

There are a lot more options for investors looking for managed funds to invest in and some of them can be started on a shoestring, it is all about managing your money and how to beat inflation.

www.robertastewart.com