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The Art of Averaging 

INTRODUCTION

Investors must realize that investing in the markets has its ups and downs (literally) that it is important to keep it all into the right perspective if investments do not go your way. There is a method of playing the markets in a way that you can take advantage of the market drops. 

The Art of Averaging 

Averaging is a term one may come across in the markets now and again; what this refers to is the average price paid for a particular share if you had bought shares in that particular company.

To calculate the average price paid for a particular share you add up the total amount you have paid for the shares and divide that by the number of shares you have bought in that company. 

The answer is the average amount that you have paid per share.

Try this mathematical question:

There are five numbers 10, 20, 30, 40, 50

What is the average number?

The calculation: 

Add up the five numbers:  10 + 20 + 30 + 40 + 50 = 150

Divide the total of the five numbers (150) by 5

150 divided by 5 = 30 (answer)

You can do this easily with a calculator.

There are so many share trading platforms available these days that investing directly into the sharemarket has never been easier for the ordinary man and women.

So how does averaging work?

If you purchase stock at regular intervals you will pay different prices for each stock because share prices go up and down. Imagine if you bought something at the supermarket last week at the full price then bought the same item this week on special. The average price you paid for the item will be somewhere between the higher price and the lower price.

The sharemarket works like that. By purchasing a particular stock at regular intervals you will manage to pick up some shares in it when the price is lower. This is the advantage of saving regularly. 

In fact I think there is a case for purchasing more shares when the price is low. The average price paid per share is determined by calculations as explained earlier. 

The averaging strategy can also be used in cryptocurrency investing. 

Bitcoin is more volatile than the sharemarket so an astute investor who has an eye for a bargain can invest when the price has dropped.

There are so many share trading platforms available that playing the markets is accessible to everyone. I have joined two of them in New Zealand. Most countries have share trading platforms available. Signing up for them is easy; you require some form of identification. Just follow the directions and you are all set up.

TO SUMMARISE

Playing the markets requires a positive mindset and a cool head. If you have these you can profit from falling markets. Averaging is a method that takes advantage of falling markets. 

ABOUT THIS ARTICLE

Robert Stewart has a blog with other articles of a finance nature. Visit www.robertastewart.com Feel free to post this article on to your site, use it as part of your ebook, share it, print it, even sell it.

 

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Investing facts of life you must accept

Investing facts of life you must accept

In every aspect of life there are some cold hard facts that you need to get your head around. Investing your savings is no different. Here are seven facts of life when it comes to investing. Understand these and you will be better equipped to make better choices.

  1. Whenever there is a chance for a capital gain there is also a chance for capital loss

Whether you like it or not, if an opportunity for a capital gain arises then there is also the chance for a capital loss. It is easy to invest when all is going well and the money you have invested has grown but most of your capital gain will come when you are investing while others are selling. It requires patience and self control to stay with your financial plan when the markets are heading south. Your financial plan has to take into account the possibility of a bear market therefore, invest according to your timeline.

  1. It is time not timing which is the key to growing your wealth

The key to prosperity is to start saving early. Once you get into the habit of saving and investing from an early age then things will become easier for you years down the track. Saving a portion of your income means living within your means but that does not mean that you have to be very stingy. It means not frittering away your spare cash on items which are not going to help you financially in the long term. If you are on the verge of retirement or already retired then you have less time to recover from financial setbacks therefore cannot be as aggressive with your investing as the young ones but that does not mean that growth funds are out of bound but rather just balance your strategy depending on how soon you are going to use the money.

  1. Your investments are your responsibility

You may be using a financial adviser to deal with your investments but they are still your responsibility because an adviser cannot think for you; it is up to you to set your own goals which match your personal situation. It is then up to you to tell your adviser where you wish to invest your money. Some investors like to have someone to blame and during a market downturn the first person to blame is their fund manager. In the case of retirement schemes such as the New Zealand Kiwi saver, investors have the choice as to whether to invest their money in growth, balanced or conservative funds. If balanced funds are chosen then there is the choice of what percentage of your savings will be invested in growth funds. Balanced funds are a mixture of growth and conservative funds.

  1. Value is determined by what others are prepared to pay for

Have you ever stopped to ask yourself the question, “What will this be worth in x years time?” The answer is quite simple!

What gives something value is what others are prepared to pay for that item whether it is a painting, someone’s stamp collection, shares in a particular company, cryptocurrency, property, gold, or whatever. 

None of us can know for certain what the market will do, therefore we take calculated risks based on our knowledge and expectation. 

As with anything in life there is no guarantee but if you do your homework and put a bit of thought into your strategy then you can have a nice nest egg to call upon when you need the money.

  1. Life is one big pyramid

One fact of life you need to accept is that life is like a pyramid. Using sport as an example; few ever make it to the elite level, comparatively few that is compared to the numbers taking part. It is the elites who make the most money, then as you go down to each level there are more and more participants. At the grass roots level you will find the highest number of participants, these are the sports men, women, and children who take part in sport for no other reason other than the enjoyment they derive from their chosen sport. 

If you have the ability to make money from your sport then it certainly will pay to have a backup plan by adding another string to your bow.

As for investing, well, there can only be one Warren Buffet, Robert Kiyosaki, or Anthony Robbins. It is important that you be the best at being you and not try to be a second rate version of someone else. Your personal financial choices must be what is applicable to your own circumstances.

 

  1. Life is all about percentages

Most people have played the lottery and most of us whether we have played it or not have heard about the absurd amounts of money which some lucky lottery winners have won; sometimes running in the millions. There is something which you must understand and it is this; For every person who won the lottery there are countless thousands who have lost their money trying the same thing. This is also true of many aspects of investing. You may have heard about someone who made a killing on the share market, on bitcoin, or some other investment but you seldom hear of those who lost everything while trying the same thing. My advice to those who are thinking about taking on high risk investments is to only do so with discretionary spending money and not with your retirement savings or money set aside for a house deposit or a car.

  1. Life is a numbers game

In life you cannot expect to win every single time. That is unrealistic. But making mistakes is just part of the learning process. The fact is that the more mistakes one makes the more likely one is going to win. Some people avoided risk after the 1987 sharemarket crash having got their fingers burned during Black Monday. 

If you do not take risks then nothing may happen to you but then you will also miss out on some of life’s experiences. When it comes to investing you need to take some kinds, albeit calculated ones in order to get ahead of inflation and the cost of living, otherwise the value of your money.

www.robertastewart.com

ABOUT THIS ARTICLE

This article is of the opinion of the writer and is not necessarily applicable to your personal circumstances. Feel free to share this article. Users may also use the article as content for your blog/website/ebook.

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Financial language

Financial language

Written by R. A. Stewart

It is important to familiarize yourself with financial jargon and their meanings. Do your research on the internet for further information on what these terms mean. This increases your financial literacy.

ASSET RICH-CASH POOR

This refers to people whose wealth are tied up with their property but have little cash in the bank.

BAD DEBT

Usually described as consumer debt or dumb debt, bad debt is when one purchases consumer goods on credit. It is bad debt because the item which has been purchased loses it’s value over time.

CAPITAL GAINS.

This is the increase in value of your asset. It is important to keep in mind that if there is a chancre for a capital gain there is also a chance for a capital loss.

CASH ASSET

A cash asset is money in the bank, stocks and shares, and any investment invested with a financial institution.

EQUITY

When someone refers to the equity in their property, they mean how much equity is left after deducting the money owing on the property from it’s value.

DEPRECIATION

Depreciation is the reduced value of any item purchased. A vehicle is a perfect example of something which reduces it’s value over time.

FINANCIAL PLAN

A plan for your money. To address money issues.

GOOD DEBT

Borrowing money for something which increases in value is considered to be “good debt,” however, it is needs to be stressed that if something can increase in value then it is just as likely to decrease in value; shares and cryptocurrency are typical examples.

INFLATION

The is based on the average increase of prices of consumer goods. If your investments are earning less than the inflation rate then you are losing money. 

LIABILITY

This is anything which you have bought on credit and pay interest on. It is said to be a liability. A vehicle is a typical example of a liability. A house could be a liability if it is costing you money but it could be said to be an asset especially if it’s value is increasing per annum.

NON-CASH ASSET

A property is an example of a non-cash asset. 

RISK PROFILE

This is your temperament to risk and is one factor in determining where to invest your money.

www.robertastewart.com

 

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share market crashes

I posted this article on the site a year ago. Thought I would repost it.

INTRODUCTION

It is not a secret that the stock market can be volatile; history has shown us this. There are many factors which are the cause of a falling market; they could be a change of President in the US, correction in the market, or nervousness by investors resulting in them selling off their stocks. Whether a 1929 or 87 style crash occurs this decade or not, one thing is clear; it is still important to save and invest for the future because one thing is certain; you will cease working one day and need something to fall back on.

History of share market crashes

When one thinks of share market crashes two years spring to mind, 1929 and 1987, hopefully, such crashes on the scale which wiped out life savings are not going to occur in the foreseeable future. It is not guaranteed that it will not happen, but then nothing in this world is guaranteed apart from death and taxes.

There have been other financial meltdowns outside of the two main ones. Asian Financial Crisis of the 90s and the GFC of 2008 wiped billions of dollars off share values. 

The next major financial meltdown in the markets could be caused by the very people who will be most affected by it, Baby Boomers.

Why?

Because as more and more of them retire, they will withdraw their savings out of the stock market causing a major selloff.

This has been predicted in the past but there has not yet been any sign of this happening with the markets at record levels, however, who is bold enough to predict which direction the stock exchange will head in the future?

One thing you can guarantee is that there will be another market crash in the future; investors just need to be prepared for it.

Here are the most notable share market crashes within the last 100 years.

1929-The Wall Street Crash

The Wall Street crash lasted for over four years. Investors borrowed money to buy shares and when shares were sold off to repay the money to their creditors investors were left out of pocket. The 1929 crash led to the 1930s Great depression.

1962-The Kennedy Slide

The stock market had enjoyed a steady rise since the 1929 crash with the ten years prior to 1962 being good ones for the stock exchange. This all changed in January when share prices plummeted. President Kennedy attributed the decline as a correction for the rises of the past ten years.

1973-74-Stock market crash

The Dow Jones fell by 45% during the stock market crash which lasted two years between January 1973 and December 1974. The UK markets feared even worse losing 73% of it’s value during this time. The collapse of the Bretton Woods System was to blame. This is a system devised many decades earlier on an agreed fixed currency rate. 44 countries met in Bretton Wood to discuss the currency issue in 1944 hence the name Bretton Woods System.

1987-Black Monday

19th October 1987 will always be known as “Black Monday,” after the biggest one day fall in the stock market in history took place. Leading up to the crash many traders borrowed money to purchase shares and as share prices rose they borrowed more money using the value of their shares as security, however, when the stock market dropped by 20% in one day many investors owed more money than the value of their shares and found themselves in financial turmoil.

1997-Asian Financial Crisis

Many stock markets in Asia fell dramatically between July and October due to an overheated market. Many who bought shares on credit or with borrowed money were hit hard by the crash.

2007-2008-Global Financial Crisis

The failure of several financial institutions in the United States.

2020-The Covid Market Crash

Stock markets dropped 34% in one day on March 23 2020 as Covid-19 was starting to take hold. This started a worldwide recession caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

Who knows when the next share market crash will occur; one thing is for certain, it will be out of the control of investors. It is up to each of us to plan our finances in such a way as to minimise the effect of a financial meltdown in the markets. This can be done by diversification; that is by having your money invested in a range of industries. This way you are not placing too many eggs in the one basket.

ABOUT THIS ARTICLE

This article does not represent financial advice, but rather is the opinion of the writer. It is strongly advised that you seek independent advice from a qualified person. Feel free to share this article. You may use this article as content for your ebook or website. Visit my site www.robertastewart.com for other articles.

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Timing the Market

Would you have been much better off if you had timed it just right?
2022 has not been a good experience for investors with some commentators saying that the first six months of the year has been the worst six month period for at least 50 years.
A little over 5% of the funds in New Zealand have shown a positive return during the six months to June 2022 according to research house Morningstar but what we do not know is what type of fund this 5% had invested in because it is almost certain that if they had been invested in growth funds then they would have joined the other 95% of funds which have shown a negative return.
So are you able to time the market perfectly every time?
The short answer is “No.”
The reason why this is so is that the odds of getting it right every single time is stacked against you.
If there was a method of timing the market perfectly every time then someone would have discovered it by now and you can guarantee that they are not going to share their secret with everyone.
we all have an opinion of some kind n what the markets will do; at the end of the day the markets are driven by market sentiment.
One cannot expect to be an expert on the markets overnight; it is no different to being knowledgeable about anything else. It all takes time and a bit of reading but knowledge does not involve just reading and listening; it involves doing. That is, investing; there is no better teacher than your own personal experience.
Warren Buffett recommends against obsessing over finding a perfect time to buy a stock.
“Don’t worry about what the market is doing or might do, or what the economy is going to do,” says Buffet. “Instead, think about the things you can control. Why am I investing? When do I need to use the money? Then set up an investment plan for your personal circumstances-because your goals can’t wait, but emotive headlines can.”
There is no doubt that investors jump on a bandwagon when a particular stock is rising.
The market is driven by emotion but whether a particular stock will rise or fall is not the only consideration. There is the matter of taxation. If stocks are held for a short period then sold your tax status may have changed to a trader but this area is a bit murky. A capital gains tax is in force in some countries so some of your gains could be reduced by a tax liability.

from time to time you might read of stories of investors who made a killing by timing the market just right but you never hear of the occasions of when these same investors who tried the same thing since and got their fingers burned. Greed eventually gets the better of speculators.
Timing the market correctly can sometimes be down to luck and that’s something to keep in mind if you see an advert from some guru who made a one time killing. Anyone can achieve a one off success but it is doing it consistently which is the problem. It is for this reason why spreading your investment among various forms of assets is the best way forward.
ABOUT THIS ARTICLE
You may use this article as content for your ebook or website. Feel free to share this post on social media.
www.robertastewart.com
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Mistakes made by ordinary investors

If you have money invested in your country’s retirement plan then you are an investor whether you know anything about the markets or not. Chances are you have your money invested in some kind of mutual fund which is managed by a fund manager who invests on your behalf. It is up to you to decide on which fund to invest in and for how long.

1-Too Conservative

You have got to learn how to be an investor and take calculated risks; there are no two ways about it. You can manage these risks to take into consideration your age, goals, and your timeline. If you have your money in conservative funds and you are in your twenties then your retirement fund will fall far short of where it is likely to be when you retire. Investing in growth funds is all about achieving capital gains. 

2-Too inconsistent

Lack of consistency as far as contributing to your retirement fund will cost you in the long run. It is easy to be consistent in your contributions when the share market is going strong but it is when the markets are bearish that you need to motivate yourself to keep investing because during the low points is when there are bargains in the share market. If you are working in some type of job then a percentage of your gross wages will be deducted and deposited into your kiwisaver account.

3-Too Emotional

Fear and greed is what drives the share market is an old cliche which rings true. Many investors react to the market’s swings and roundabouts and sell when they should hang on to their stocks. Investing in the share market is a long term game; it is not a sprint, it is a marathon. If you have some kind of retirement fund then your fund manager invests on your behalf, however if you are in New Zealand you are able to switch funds which some investors do in reaction to what the market is doing. If you have some kind of financial goals then this should take into consideration a possible share market crash.

4-Too Greedy

Many investors are simply too greedy; they invest in something offering high returns without paying any attention to the risk they are taking on, or worse still, they place all of their eggs in one basket hoping to make a killing. This all or nothing approach has destroyed several retirement plans. This was certainly the case when several investors saw their life savings disappear with the collapse of several finance companies. Diversification minimizes your risk.

5-Too Impatient

Patience is the name of the game in investing. It is time and not timing which will build your retirement riches. There will be ups and downs in the markets but a bit of patience will pay off in the long run. Something some people do not have so they invest in risky stuff offering quick returns and end up losing more often than not. 

6-Too Gullible

There are offers or as they are called “opportunities,”promoted online mostly and sometimes in the print media as a way of making quick profits. If an investment seems too good to be true then it mostly certainly is. Usually the person or company promoted such offers are the ones making money out of it. You may have read stories about the amount of money such people have made from whatever it is being promoted but they are in the minority. 

It is up to investors to take responsibility for their own decisions and not try to find a scapegoat if things turn to custard.

www.robertastewart.com

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Is Kiwisaver for KIds a Good Idea?

Is Kiwisaver for KIds a Good Idea?

Written by R. A. Stewart

Is it a good idea for parents to open a kiwisaver account for kids? 

That is a question I have been pondering because a lassie who writes to me has a three year old son. Here are the pros and cons I considered.

The pros

1 It will give the kid a good start in life as the money can be used for a deposit on their first home.

2 The markets are down which means that there are bargains in the share market.

3 It will help give the kids a tolerance to risk

4 It will help develop their financial literacy

The cons

1 Kids are ineligible for the kiwisaver incentives until the reach the age of 18

2 Money in locked into kiwisaver until they reach the retirement age of 65

3 There are other alternatives

After considering all of this I decided that getting children signed up to kiwisaver in order to help them get their first home is a good idea, however, it is worth noting that if he or she inherits Mum or Dad’s home then they are not eligible to withdraw any of their kiwisaver funds to purchase their first home. Having some form of goal and a route for getting there is better than not having any kind of plan. A plan such as this gives children an option when they are older. I cannot think of any circumstance when any adults may have regrets that their parents enrolled them into Kiwisaver.

It is important to choose your fund and not change because a fund which is on a high will come down while a fund which is low will rise; that is the nature of the markets. Just focus on contributing to kiwisaver both for yourself and your children.

Another important thing to remember is the importance of having a will because if you die without a will then it is likely that lawyers will take a good piece of your kiwisaver if there is a dispute over who gets what. In any will disputes, the person’s spouse will inherit everything, if they are not married then it is their children, if they are not married and have no children then it is their parents and if their parents are deceased then their siblings are next in line. This is of course if the person has no will.

Of course one may argue that due to the high cost of living that it is difficult for them to make ends meet let alone contribute to their own kiwisaver and their childrens as well. If this is true for you then you should make a plan to increase your income or decrease your spending. A combination of both is ideal. Think about this if you saved $5 per week, that is $260 per year. In 10 years that is $2,500 years. $10 per week is $520 per year. 

ABOUT THIS ARTICLE

This article is of the opinion of the writer and may not be applicable to your personal circumstances. Feel free to share this article. You may use the article as content for your ebook and website. 

www.robertastewart.com

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Who do you turn to for advice during the market slump?

Written by R. A. Stewart

There is advice flowing in all directions on the best way to manage your finances during the market downturn. Who do you turn to for advice? Well, for a start, it is up to each individual to take responsibility for their finances and do their own due diligence. The possibility of a share market crash should have been factored into your plans. How often has it been said that your age and tolerance to risk are two factors that determine where to invest your money. If you are in your 20s then the market slump should not be an issue for you as far as your retirement savings are concerned because you have the advantage of time on your side. It is a different story, however, if you are saving for a house deposit. If this is the case then your money should be in more conservative funds but it all depends on how soon you need the money to purchase a house.

Eight years ago I was doing a mystery shopping assignment for a kiwisaver scheme and was advised to scale back to more conservative funds because of my age. I did not do that but if I did I would have missed out on the gains which occurred during that time. My kiwisaver balance would have been a lot lower than it is even during the current slump.

Personally, I am prepared to just weather the storm. How long this will last, who knows?

There was a financial advisor on TV one night saying, “People need to invest money at a higher rate than the inflation rate,” but she didn’t specify where we are supposed to find such an investment since the inflation rate is higher than fixed term interest rates.

Another financial advisor on TV said “Investors need to think about where they will be in ten years time rather than ten minutes time.” He said, “Investing in the share market is a long term game.”

Investors may be tempted to invest in something offering high interest rates. It is worth reminding people that during the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 several finance companies went bust leaving a lot of investors out of pocket. In fact some investors lost their entire life savings in some of the company collapses.

A young woman was interviewed on TV last week and she told the reporter that she was in a conservative fund (in Kiwisaver). She wasn’t concerned about the tumbling markets. She was oblivious to the fact that she had missed out on all of the gains which the share market had made over the years and she will miss out on future gains in the markets because it is a good time to invest in the markets right now and this particularly applies to the young ones. The reason why it is a good time to invest is because you will get more units for your money. 

If you are saving for something for the short to long term then it is better to have your money in more conservative funds. These are decisions that need to be made by each individual and not others. It is about taking full responsibility for the outcome and not blaming others.

Disclaimer: This article is based on the writer’s opinion and experience and may not be applicable to your situation. If you require qualified financial assistance then see your bank, financial, or budget advisor. You may use this article as content for your ebook. Check out my other articles on www.robertastewart.com

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Three sure ways to lose during the bear market

Three sure ways to lose during the bear market

The sluggish year so far for the money markets has made some investors nervous and questioning how they should react. It is important to maintain the right attitude and stick to your plan or you may regret it later on. If you have invested with the right strategy then it is only a matter of living normally and riding out the storm. 

If you have noticed that your share market portfolio balance is lower than at the start of the year and thought, “I have lost xxx amount of money,” then you are not alone. These are only paper losses. There are three sure ways of losing money during a share market downturn, so here they are:

1-Selling your shares

If you sell your shares during a bear market and then the market rebounds you will miss out on the gains that would have recouped your previous losses. You should bear in mind that they are only losses if you cash up when the markets are down. Any financial advisor will tell you that shares are a long term investment.

2-Transferring to more conservative funds

Transferring your funds from growth to conservative during a downturn is a bad time to do it for the same reason as selling your shares at this time. Once the markets rebound you will miss out on the gains when they eventually come.

3-You stop investing in your retirement fund

This too is a bad move. In fact it may be a good time to invest in the markets because you will receive more units for your money which means your investment will grow. Who knows where the markets will be in 5-10 years time. If you have the luxury of time on your side then you can afford to take on more risk with your money.

Inflation is detrimental to your wealth

Keep in mind that if you invest in conservative funds then inflation will erode the purchasing power of your money, however, that is not so much of an issue if you require the money in the short to medium term. It all depends on your time frame and your goals.

DISCLAIMER: Please note this article is of the opinion of the writer and does not constitute financial advice. If you need financial advice then see your bank.

www.robertastewart.com

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One rule for investing you need to consider

One rule for investing you need to consider

Written by R. A. Stewart

The one question you MUST ask yourself before investing your money is, “Can I afford to lose this money?”

Only you can answer this question, but…

that depends on when you need the money and what the loss of your investment will mean for your other goals.

For example if your goal is to save for a car within the next 18 months or so then this is considered a short to medium term goal which means that investing in something with low risk is imperative. Growth funds on the share market and bitcoin are out of the question because the loss of your investment could mean that you may not be able to purchase that car. It really comes down to how badly you require that car. If it is essential for you to get to and from work then you cannot afford to lose the money that you are saving for a car.

The same is said for money which you are saving for a house deposit but it really depends on how soon you require the money. If you are looking at a 10 year timeframe then investing in growth funds may increase your savings faster but no one can predict when and if the markets will crash so it is really a risk to invest your house deposit money this way but the flip side is that if there is a 1987 style crash then house prices will also tumble so less money will be needed to purchase a house.

Can you afford to lose your retirement fund? The answer is no but…

Where your retirement fund is invested all depends on how soon you need the money. Some financial advisors will tell you to scale back the risk as you are approaching retirement but the problem is that if you start doing that when the markets are down you are taking a loss and missing out on any gains which will happen when the markets rebound. The other thing to remember is that you are not going to just spend all of your retirement funds as soon as you retire. You may live another 20 years and that is ample time to recover from any crash which will occur near your retirement. Of course you may want to tick off as many items off your bucket list as you possibly can so the early stage of your retirement will be when you will want to do as much as you can. You certainly do not want to sit in an old folks home at 90 with any regrets.

The size of your retirement fund when you require it is determined by where you have invested your money. If you just saved your money and just left it in low interest accounts you will lose.

How? 

Because inflation will erode the value of your money. Then there is tax on the interest.

It is important to learn how to invest for a better outcome and where you invest should be determined by your age and how soon you need the money.

Saving up for a house is the biggest single investment in one’s life with a car being the second biggest. Not everyone has ever bought a house or car but have saved money for other things; here is a list of other items which many people are spending their money on:

*Paying off a student loan

*Saving for an overseas holiday

*Saving for a business

*Paying off a medical/dental bill

These are major items. It has to be said that saving for a holiday can be considered discretionary spending and therefore will not cause you a great deal of hardship, just disappointment if you lose this money in the share market.

Setting priorities is an important part of managing your finances and the one question that should be asked is, “Can I afford to lose this money?”

NOTE: You may use this article as content for your website or ebook. Feel free to share this item.

www.robertastewart.com